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Finally, there is one more question
that needs answering. During Xiaoping's
south China tour last year he pointed out it
is essential to grasp the opportunities to
speed up reform and development, open the
doors still wider and concentrate our
efforts on running our own affairs in the
best possible way. In his report to the 14th
Party Congress Jiang Zemin emphasized the
idea to speed things up and raised the
targeted annual GNP growth rate during the
1990s from 6 percent to 8-9 percent.
Such a high rate of increase sounds
encouraging at a time when the world is
experiencing a universal slump. But quite a
few people are worried. They would ask :
What is the foundation for such unusually
high speed ? How long can the "Special
Express" last ? Will the brakes be
slammed on like what happened in 1989 ?
Ma :
During the 12 years from 1959 to 1970, Japan
saw its annual GNP increase rate exceeding
10 percent for nine years. China GNP has
also registered rather impressive growth
over the last 14 years of reform, but we are
still trailing behind Korea and in some
years, we were even slower than Thailand.
Our neighbouring countries are all
developing rapidly. If we fail to pick up
speed, we will lag behind. Low speed poses
not only an economic problem but also a
political problem. Backwardness means to
place our country at the beck and call of
others. All rising industrial nations and
regions in Asia, including the "four
small dragons," had recorded high speed
development during the take-off stage of
their economies.
>Gao :
If we look at the speed of development in
previous years, 1984-88 was a period of high
speed growth, reaching an annual increase of
9 percent, some-times even surpassing 10
percent. In 1989 the rate dwindled to 3
percent increase left a big leeway, with the
idea to quadruple the 1981 GNP by the end of
this century (which means a per-capita
figure of US $800-1,000). I think we have
the following favourable conditions to
increase the rate to 8-9 percent :
1) The 14
years of construction have provided a
relatively sound material foundation. So far
as total output is concerned, some of our
products have reached advanced global
levels.
2) The aim of reform has become more clear,
and the growing market economy will
inevitably bring new and greater vitality to
the economy.
3) The door has been wider open and the
investment environment is improving,
attracting a large flock of investors from
overseas.
4) After more than a decade of reform and
opening, we have accumulated experience and
brought up a vast contingent of
entrepreneurs well-versed in technology and
management.
5) Industrialization is under way in China.
Compared with developed countries, we need
to establish large numbers of enterprises
for many industries. The development of
these industries will provide a great
impetus for the growth of various
enterprises.
6) High-speed growth is the strong wish of
the people of the entire country ; therefore
8-9 percent increase rate is no problem. |